Summer Movie League: Week 5

Recap:

The Jungle Book continued its dominance, and continued to add to Joe’s early lead, taking in another $61 million dollars this past weekend.  It’s domestic gross through Sunday stood at $192 million, and a windfall of $180.7 million in profit for Joe.  At 94% on the T-meter, Joe needs it to hit $266 million for it to hit the $250 million cap.  I think it is very safe to say that will be the case and it is the surprise hit of the season.  It was a movie I had targeted in my pre-draft study as I expected good numbers for it, but even I didn’t expect this.

The “big” opening movie this weekend was The Huntsman: Winter’s War, which was an all-around dud.  It managed less than $20 million in its opening weekend, while it garnered only a 16% rating on Rotten Tomatoes.  That’s another tough blow for Paula and the strategy she took in drafting her lineup of movies.  She spent $39 on Finding Dory, and supplemented it with six other movies that she didn’t pay in the double digits for.  The $7 she spent to get The Huntsman is the 2nd most she spent, and coupled with The Boss, it makes her more reliant upon her other remaining films, Legend of Tarzan, Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates, The Nice Guys, and Money Monster to over-perform and exceed expectations.  As much as I am eagerly anticipating The Nice Guys, I think it has a limited commercial appeal, and the same probably goes for Money Monster.  She needs Legend of Tarzan to perform legendarily and for Mike and Dave to be the surprise comedy hit of the summer and for both to be critical darlings.  Otherwise, she is going to find herself in a fight for last place.

In its 2nd weekend, Barbershop: The Next Cut took in $10.5 million to raise its domestic total to $35.7 million.  Thankfully, for me, the T-meter held steady as well, maintaining its 92% rating and giving me $32.8 million in earnings from it.  At this point, anything I make off of it I’m considering bonus.  It should end up in the $50-60 million range and net me around $50 million, which is great production from the bottom of my roster.

Preview:

This weekend has got two releases: Keanu and Mother’s Day.  I’m not expecting either of these movies to knock off The Jungle Book, though Keanu should come in at #2.  It currently sits at 76% on Rotten Tomatoes, though with only 17 reviews, so it could rise or fall significantly still.  It will continue to pad Joe’s early lead and should be as good or better or an investment for him as Barbershop was for me.  Meanwhile, Mother’s Day, after only 5 reviews, is at 20%.  That number could rise slightly or drop even lower as more reviews roll in.  I think 40% would likely be its ceiling and I can’t anticipate it performing higher than the mid or low teens at the box office.  As $2 buy by Tim, it won’t be adding much to his overall numbers.  And of course, next weekend drops the first big blockbuster of the summer in Captain America: Civil War.

Standings:

1. Joe – $275.4 million
($30) Batman V Superman: Dawn of Justice – $90.3 million
($19) The Jungle Book – $180.7 million
($4) Hardcore Henry – $4.4 million

2. Me – $32.8 million
($3) Barbershop: The Next Cut – $32.8 million

3.Tim – $15.5 million
($4) My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 – $15.5 million

4. Paula – $10.8 million
($5) The Boss – $7.7 million
($7) The Huntsman: Winter’s War – $3.1 million

5. Chris – $1 million
($1) Demolition – $1 million

6. Greg – $0

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