Summer Movie League: Week 7

Recap:

Despite living up to the highest box office expectations of possibly making $200 million its opening weekend, Captain America: Civil War nonetheless lived up to the positive reviews and still managed to generate a lot of business, taking in $179.1 million.  With a 90% on the T-meter that’s good for $161.2 million for Chris and it catapults him up the leaderboard.  I expect by the end of next weekend it will hit the $250 million cap and be done.  It has certainly served its purpose for Chris, but given what he paid for it, at what cost?  That will be born out over the rest of the summer.

Speaking of the cap, The Jungle Book reach the $250 million mark for Joe.  This is a big achievement and needed on his part given the underperformance of Batman V Superman.  Elsewhere around the box office, Mother’s Day actually improved on its opening weekend thanks to the actual Mother’s Day this past Sunday, taking in $11.1 million and its total now stands at $22.8 million, but with 8% T-Meter it isn’t going to move the needle much at all for Tim.  Keanu had a significant drop in its box office, falling 65% to only $3.3 million.  Barbershop: The Next Cut also slowed, taking in $2.8 million and a $48.9 million total.  It should end up just above $50 million.

In other news, we had a transaction.  Chris put in a claim to drop Me Before You and pick up Bad Moms in its place.  But doing so he sacrifices $5 million in revenue.  It’s an interesting gamble, but the trailer shows some promise and it could find an audience.

Preview:

The only release this weekend is Money Monster, a Jodie Foster-directed movie that stars George Clooney, Julia Roberts, and Jack O’Connell.  No reviews are posted yet, but even if they are extremely positive, I don’t see Money Monster being much of a money… monster.  Perhaps it hits the low teens in its opening weekend.

Looking ahead though, business is about to pick up.  Angry Birds, Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising, and The Nice Guys all open on the 20th.  After 13 reviews, Angry Birds sits at 46%, which is about what I was expecting.  If it hits 50% I’ll be pleased.  Neighbors 2 has a 65% T-rating after 31 reviews.  No reviews yet for The Nice Guys, but I expect it to have a very high T-meter rating.

A few out still from Memorial Day weekend, but there are already early reviews for X-Men Apocalypse and Alice Through The Looking Glass.  After 45 reviews, X-Men: Apocalypse is at 51%, which is massively disappointing.  Even worse, Alice is currently at 25% after 10 reviews.  This could be, well, apocalyptic for me.  I already did not have a movie that I expected to hit the cap, but I built my roster anticipating a strong top to bottom performance.  That seems to have gone out the window.  I no longer expect to have a chance to win.  In fact, I could see myself fighting to stay out of last place now.  Needless to say, I need Steven Spielberg to turn back the clock and deliver a bona fide blockbuster with The BFG.  This is a troubling development.

Standings:

1. Joe – $354.6 million
($30) Batman V Superman: Dawn of Justice – $88.4 million
($19) The Jungle Book – $250 million
($4) Hardcore Henry – $4.4 million
($3) Keanu – $11.8 million
($11) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising – $0
($3) Sausage Party – $0

2. Chris – $157.2 million
($46) Captain America: Civil War – $161.2 million
($1) Demolition – $1 million
($0) Bad Moms – -5 million
($10) Central Intelligence
($4) Now You See Me 2
($2) Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping
($6) Pete’s Dragon

3. Me – $45 million
($3) Barbershop: The Next Cut – $45 million
($7) The Angry Birds Movie – $0
($10) Alice Through the Looking Glass – $0
($29) X-Men: Apocalypse – $0
($8) Ice Age: Collision Course – $0
($12) The BFG – $0
($1) Free State of Jones – $0

4.Tim – $18.1 million
($4) My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 – $16.3 million
($2) Mother’s Day – $1.8 million
($26) Suicide Squad – $0
($20) Star Trek Beyond – $0
($7) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows – $0
($6) The Conjuring 2 – $0
($3) Kubo and the Two Strings – $0

5. Paula – $17.8 million
($5) The Boss – $11.3 million
($7) The Huntsman: Winter’s War – $6.5 million
($39) Finding Dory – $0
($5) Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates – $0
($5) Legend of Tarzan – $0
($4) The Nice Guys – $0
($1) Money Monster – $0

6. Greg – $0
($8) Ghostbusters – $0
($17) Independence Day: Resurgence – $0
($19) The Secret Life of Pets – $0
($6) Warcraft – $0
($17) Jason Bourne – $0
($3) The Purge: Election Day – $0

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