Summer Movie League: Week 10

Recap:

Sorry for the delay. Normally, I try to get this done early in week, but on top of the Memorial Day holiday, I have also been sick since Saturday night and not in a condition for doing much of anything besides being at work and sleeping fitfully while trying to get better.  After much unpleasantness, I finally feel like the worst is over and I’m on my way back to normalcy.  Unfortunately, when it rains it pours.  Last week I said that the Memorial Day Weekend, which saw the release of X-Men: Apocalypse and Alice Through the Looking Glass, would be my reckoning.  Well, like my health, it all fell apart.  No way of verifying if there was a correlation between the abysmal performance of these two movies and my getting sick, though I’m not willing to rule it out entirely.

The sixth installment of the X-Men franchise, ninth if you count the two Wolverine movies and the Deadpool spinoffs, dropped with an unremarkable $79.8 million over the 4-day holiday period.  Equally unimpressive is the 47% rating it received on Rotten Tomatoes.  That’s a paltry $37.5 million that I’m banking from its opening weekend.  I paid $29 for it in the auction.  This is nothing short of a disaster.  If the film manages to earn $212 million I will make $100 million if the current T-meter holds.  At this point, that seems the best case scenario, and only a remote possibility.

Even worse, Alice Through the Looking Glass made even less of an impression on theater-goers, making only $33.5 million over the 4-day weekend.  Alice in Wonderland made $116 million its opening weekend, on the way to a $334 million haul.  This was clearly a sequel nobody wanted, and the fact that Burton was not back to direct it couldn’t have helped.  And the reviews were terrible as well, currently at 29% on the T-meter, which translates to $9.7 million for me.  There’s just no good way to spin any of this.  I am in a bad way.  I have to be considered the prohibitive favorite to end up in last place right now.  My only hope is that someone like Paula or Tim have unexpected failures on their rosters in addition to The BFG being a massive hit for me.

Preview:

Opening this weekend is Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows, Me Before You, and Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping.  Unsurprisingly, Turtles are not getting great reviews, though the 35% T-meter is higher than the original Michael Bay Turtles movie from two years ago.  Me Before You seems to be a middling British romantic drama with a 55% T-meter.  Popstar, starring Andy Samberg, is the best reviewed new release, at 78%.  I think Turtles will compete with X-Men for the top of the box office, while the other two will probably do somewhere in the teens, at best.

Next week also has three releases, Now You See Me 2 (50%), Warcraft (20%), and The Conjuring 2 (83%).  No reviews out yet for Finding Dory or Central Intelligence for the June 17th weekend.

Standings:

1. Joe – $384.6 million
($30) Batman V Superman: Dawn of Justice – $89 million
($19) The Jungle Book – $250 million
($11) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising – $25.6 million
($4) Hardcore Henry – $4.4 million
($3) Keanu – $15.6 million
($3) Sausage Party – $0

2. Chris – $246 million
($46) Captain America: Civil War – $250 million
($1) Demolition – $1 million
($0) Bad Moms – -5 million
($10) Central Intelligence
($4) Now You See Me 2
($2) Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping
($6) Pete’s Dragon

3. Me – $127.2 million
($29) X-Men: Apocalypse – $37.5 million
($10) Alice Through the Looking Glass – $9.7 million
($7) The Angry Birds Movie – $31 million
($3) Barbershop: The Next Cut – $49 million
($8) Ice Age: Collision Course – $0
($12) The BFG – $0
($1) Free State of Jones – $0

4. Paula – $60.1 million
($7) The Huntsman: Winter’s War – $7.6 million
($5) The Boss – $11.9 million
($4) The Nice Guys – $21.2 million
($1) Money Monster – $19.4 million
($39) Finding Dory – $0
($5) Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates – $0
($5) Legend of Tarzan – $0

5.Tim – $19.9 million
($4) My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 – $17.3 million
($2) Mother’s Day – $2.6 million
($26) Suicide Squad – $0
($20) Star Trek Beyond – $0
($7) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows – $0
($6) The Conjuring 2 – $0
($3) Kubo and the Two Strings – $0

6. Greg – $0
($8) Ghostbusters – $0
($17) Independence Day: Resurgence – $0
($19) The Secret Life of Pets – $0
($6) Warcraft – $0
($17) Jason Bourne – $0
($3) The Purge: Election Day – $0

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