Summer Movie League: Week 11

Recap:

The heroes in a half shell returned to theatres this weekend and suffered the fate of several sequels this summer, a lack of demand and thus a lack of revenue.  2014’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles had an opening weekend of $65.6 million on its way to a $191.2 million gross.  Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2: Out of the Shadows, however, only generated $35.3 million this past weekend for what will surely be well below that $191.2 million of its predecessor.  That first movie had the benefit of opening in August and was probably able to sustain itself at the box office a bit longer because of that.  This one is more likely to get lost in the shuffle being released in the early portion of the summer when things are starting to kick into high gear and get super crowded.  That’s not great news for Tim, though it’s hardly a death knell considering he only paid $7 for it and has bigger releases down the road.  What is good news for him is that this sequel was rated marginally better on the T-meter than the first one, coming in at 35% to the original’s 22%.

The other new releases this weekend were Me Before You and Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping.  Both of these movies were on the roster of Chris, however, he dropped Me Before You in order to pick up Bad Moms.  Hindsight being 20/20, that has to be a bad move now unless Bad Moms turns into an unexpected comedy hit this summer, as Me Before You took in $18.7 million with a 56% T-meter, which would have been $10.5 million.  Again, because of the rules, Bad Moms starts out in a $5 million hole that it cost to add it.  My guess is that Me Before You would have ended up making him nearly $30 million based on this opening weekend, so unless Bad Moms makes him more than $35 million that roster move will have been for naught and may end up hurting him slightly.  Meanwhile, Popstar was unspectacular, despite the 77% positive reviews.  It only made $4.7 million.

In repeat business, X-Men: Apocalypse lived up to its name, having an apocalyptic 2nd weekend and taking in only $22.8 million and pushing its total to a disappointing $117 million.  Even more disappointing, Alice Through the Looking Glass came in at $11.3 million, upping its total to a paltry $51.4 million.

Preview:

Opening this weekend are Now You See Me 2, The Conjuring 2, and Warcraft.  As expected, Now You See Me 2 is down to 38% based on 21 reviews.  The Conjuring 2 has slipped down to 63% with 35 reviews in so far.  Warcraft, with 61 reviews in, sits at 23%.  I haven’t seen many projections, but it would not surprise me if The Conjuring 2 led at the box office this weekend.  The first one was well received and even exceeded projections in 2013, making $41 million its opening weekend on the way to a $135 million total.  I think horror sequels, if they have good enough word of mouth, tend to retain their audience value more than comedy sequels, generally speaking, so I don’t expect it to suffer the fate of Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising.  There has been a lot of advertising for Now You See Me 2, but the original film had an opening weekend of just under $30 million.  I don’t expect this one to top that.  Warcraft could be a bit of an unknown.  It’s a hugely popular game franchise, but the general interest in it, as well as the fanboy interest in it, has to be muted considerably by the awful reviews of what appears to be a very generic film.

Beyond this weekend, Finding Dory and Central Intelligence open the following weekend.  Not surprisingly, no reviews are out yet for Central Intelligence.  I find it very surprising that no reviews are out yet for Finding Dory, as Pixar movies tend to be the types of films that get early reviews trickling out more often than not.  This could be a sign that this one is one of the rare missteps for Pixar.  It definitely warrants paying close attention as June 17th approaches.

Standings:

1. Joe – $389.9 million
($30) Batman V Superman: Dawn of Justice – $89.1 million
($19) The Jungle Book – $250 million
($11) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising – $30.7 million
($4) Hardcore Henry – $4.4 million
($3) Keanu – $15.7 million
($3) Sausage Party – $0

2. Chris – $249.6 million
($46) Captain America: Civil War – $250 million
($2) Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping – $3.6 million
($1) Demolition – $1 million
($0) Bad Moms – -5 million
($10) Central Intelligence
($4) Now You See Me 2
($6) Pete’s Dragon

3. Me – $156.4 million
($29) X-Men: Apocalypse – $55 million
($10) Alice Through the Looking Glass – $14.9 million
($7) The Angry Birds Movie – $37.5 million
($3) Barbershop: The Next Cut – $49 million
($8) Ice Age: Collision Course – $0
($12) The BFG – $0
($1) Free State of Jones – $0

4. Paula – $67.2 million
($7) The Huntsman: Winter’s War – $7.7 million
($5) The Boss – $12.6 million
($4) The Nice Guys – $26.2 million
($1) Money Monster – $20.7 million
($39) Finding Dory – $0
($5) Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates – $0
($5) Legend of Tarzan – $0

5.Tim – $32.3 million
($7) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows – $12.4 million
($4) My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 – $17.3 million
($2) Mother’s Day – $2.6 million
($26) Suicide Squad – $0
($20) Star Trek Beyond – $0
($6) The Conjuring 2 – $0
($3) Kubo and the Two Strings – $0

6. Greg – $0
($8) Ghostbusters – $0
($17) Independence Day: Resurgence – $0
($19) The Secret Life of Pets – $0
($6) Warcraft – $0
($17) Jason Bourne – $0
($3) The Purge: Election Day – $0

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