Summer Movie League: Week 18

Recap:

Last weekend featured the return of the Star Trek franchise in the form of Star Trek Beyond, which captured $59.3 million of the box office business, good enough for the top spot and, with an 84% T-meter, good for $9.8 million in the coffers for Tim who makes his late push for the top of the standings.  That number is good, but it’s not promising in terms of coming close to hitting the cap.  Tim will need Suicide Squad to have a massive opening and get glowing reviews to have the best possible shot of winning it all.

Also opening this weekend was the cherry on the sundae of my disastrous summer, Ice Age: Collision Course, which made $21.4 million, but only had a 12% T-meter, which was good for a miniscule $2.6 million in revenue for me.  If it had been more than just re-arranging deckchairs on the Titanic, I would have gladly dropped Ice Age for Lights Out, which went untouched by every competitor this summer and had an opening weekend of $21.7 million and a 77% T-meter to go along with it.

The Secret Life of Pets continues to make good revenue for Greg, and he was also aided by Ghostbusters not falling as precipitously in its 2nd weekend as some were forecasting.  At this rate, and with the release of Jason Bourne this weekend, Greg should vault up to the top of the standings.

Preview:

As I said, the release of Jason Bourne is this weekend, and while I expect it to do fairly good box office numbers, probably somewhere in the range of what Star Trek Beyond did this weekend, it’s T-meter rating is hovering around 60%.  This really leaves the door open for Tim if Star Trek Beyond turns out to have some legs and Suicide Squad is the big hit Warner Bros. is hoping for.  I thought that Bourne was a strong bet to bank Greg something in the $125- $150 million range, but given the lukewarm reviews, it looks like it will be the lower end of that at best.

Also opening this weekend is Bad Moms, a movie that Chris picked up early in the season as a replacement.  He sacrificed $5 million in the process, so he needs Bad Moms to do enough money to justify dropping Me Before You.  He needs Bad Moms to make him $38 million for it to be a good move, as Me Before You would have netted him $32.9 million.  There are currently no reviews out for Bad Moms yet on Rotten Tomatoes, which is usually an ominous sign so close to the release.

Standings:

1. Joe – $393.7 million
($30) Batman V Superman: Dawn of Justice – $89.2 million
($19) The Jungle Book – $250 million
($11) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising – $34.3 million
($4) Hardcore Henry – $4.4 million
($3) Keanu – $15.8 million
($3) Sausage Party – $0

2. Paula – $385.4 million
($39) Finding Dory – $250 million
($7) The Huntsman: Winter’s War – $7.7 million
($5) The Legend of Tarzan – $41.8 million
($5) The Boss – $13.9 million
($5) Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates – $15.7 million
($4) The Nice Guys – $32.9 million
($1) Money Monster – $23.4 million

3. Chris – $358.7 million
($46) Captain America: Civil War – $250 million
($10) Central Intelligence – $83.7 million
($4) Now You See Me 2 – $21.9 million
($2) Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping – $7.1 million
($1) Demolition – $1 million
($0) Bad Moms – -5 million
($6) Pete’s Dragon – $0

4. Greg – $343.2 million
($19) The Secret Life of Pets – $193.1 million
($17) Independence Day: Resurgence – $32.4 million
($8) Ghostbusters – $63 million
($6) Warcraft – $13.3 million
($3) The Purge: Election Year – $41.4 million
($17) Jason Bourne – $0

5. Me – $240.7 million
($29) X-Men: Apocalypse – $74.5 million
($12) The BFG – $37.2 million
($10) Alice Through the Looking Glass – $23 million
($8) Ice Age: Collision Course – $2.6 million
($7) The Angry Birds Movie – $45.9 million
($3) Barbershop: The Next Cut – $48.6 million
($1) Free State of Jones – $8.9 million

6.Tim – $182.4 million
($20) Star Trek Beyond – $49.8 million
($7) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows – $31.6 million
($6) The Conjuring 2 – $81.4 million
($4) My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 – $17.3 million
($2) Mother’s Day – $2.3 million
($26) Suicide Squad – $0
($3) Kubo and the Two Strings – $0

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